Utah Hockey Club at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2025-03-27 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 8 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

TBL: 50.8%

UTA: 49.2%

Expected Goals

TBL: 4.14

UTA: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TBL at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	TBL 2 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-11-02	UTA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-03-27	TBL 8 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-03-22	UTA 6 - 4 TBL	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TBL	12	1	1.13
1	UTA	9	0	0.25
2	TBL	14	0	1.11
2	UTA	10	0	0.49
3	TBL	9	0	0.59
3	UTA	16	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 8 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 4.1 - 2.9