St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-27 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 53.6%

STL: 46.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.39

STL: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	21	18	3	85.7%	1.94	1	-1.06
STL	Joel Hofer	18	16	2	88.9%	1.87	1	-0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NSH at home vs STL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	NSH
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.59
1	STL	4	0	0.32
2	NSH	13	1	0.80
2	STL	8	0	0.57
3	NSH	11	0	0.47
3	STL	15	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9