Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-27 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 4 - 2 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 52.4%
WSH: 47.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.29
WSH: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | MIN | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | MIN 5 - 0 WSH | MIN | WSH |
| 2025-10-17 | WSH 5 - 1 MIN | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-27 | MIN 4 - 2 WSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-02 | WSH 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WSH |
| 2024-01-23 | MIN 5 - 3 WSH | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 07:08 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 08:49 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:25 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:39 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 4 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5
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