Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-03-27 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 49.6%
LAK: 50.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.21
LAK: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | COL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.960 | 0.826 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • COL at home vs LAK: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | LAK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-29 | COL 5 - 2 LAK | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-07 | LAK 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-12 | LAK 5 - 4 COL | LAK | COL |
| 2025-03-27 | COL 4 - 0 LAK | COL | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:25 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:57 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:29 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:56 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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