Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-27 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

COL: 61.1%

LAK: 38.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.67

LAK: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	22	22	0	100.0%	1.70	0	1.70
LAK	David Rittich	26	22	4	84.6%	2.31	1	-1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • COL at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	0	0.60
1	LAK	11	0	0.54
2	COL	8	1	0.77
2	LAK	12	0	0.53
3	COL	13	0	0.95
3	LAK	14	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7