Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-03-27 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 6 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 60.9%
TOR: 39.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.77
TOR: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | SJS | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SJS at home vs TOR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | TOR 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | TOR |
| 2025-03-27 | SJS 6 - 5 TOR | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-03-03 | TOR 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | TOR |
| 2024-01-09 | TOR 7 - 1 SJS | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-06 | SJS 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:50 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 14:40 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 17:45 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:39 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:46 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 13:18 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:13 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:02 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:01 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 6 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.8 - 3.2