Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CAR: 79.1%

MTL: 20.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.90

MTL: 2.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CAR at home vs MTL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	1	1.73
1	MTL	7	0	0.60
2	CAR	15	1	1.20
2	MTL	5	0	0.36
3	CAR	9	1	0.96
3	MTL	13	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.9 - 2.1