Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-28 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 66.9%
MTL: 33.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.47
MTL: 2.06
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | CAR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.727 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • CAR at home vs MTL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-25 | MTL 4 - 0 CAR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-30 | MTL 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:23 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 00:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:10 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.5 - 2.1