Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-03-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CBJ: 54.4%

VAN: 45.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 4.32

VAN: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 5.3

Over 5.5: 47%

Over 6.5: 38%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	40	34	6	85.0%	3.24	2	-2.76
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	41	34	7	82.9%	4.04	3	-2.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs VAN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	CBJ
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	0	0.99
1	VAN	12	1	0.96
2	CBJ	12	1	0.95
2	VAN	16	0	0.83
3	CBJ	20	1	1.06
3	VAN	11	1	0.85
4	CBJ	1	0	0.03
4	VAN	5	0	0.33
5	CBJ	3	1	1.01
5	VAN	3	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.3 - 3.4