New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-28 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

WPG: 62.5%

NJD: 37.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.47

NJD: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	24	0	100.0%	2.69	1	2.69
NJD	Jake Allen	19	15	4	78.9%	3.46	4	-0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NJD: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	10	1	0.93
1	NJD	16	0	0.91
2	WPG	11	2	1.76
2	NJD	7	0	0.58
3	WPG	7	1	0.77
3	NJD	17	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7