Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-28 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

CHI: 23.0%

VGK: 77.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.59

VGK: 4.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs VGK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	0.89
1	VGK	9	0	0.30
2	CHI	11	0	0.90
2	VGK	14	1	1.11
3	CHI	10	0	0.47
3	VGK	10	2	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.6 - 4.5