New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-28 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 37.6%
NYR: 62.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.78
NYR: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | ANA 5 - 3 NYR | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-15 | NYR 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NYR |
| 2025-03-28 | ANA 5 - 4 NYR | ANA | NYR |
| 2024-10-26 | NYR 2 - 1 ANA | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-21 | ANA 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 16:55 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:48 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:22 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:35 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:15 | ANA | Goal |
| 4 | 00:59 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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