New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-28 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 58.1%
NYR: 41.9%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.42
NYR: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | ANA 5 - 3 NYR | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-15 | NYR 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NYR |
| 2025-03-28 | ANA 5 - 4 NYR | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-26 | NYR 2 - 1 ANA | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-21 | ANA 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 16:55 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:48 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:22 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:35 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:15 | ANA | Goal |
| 4 | 00:59 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8