St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 55.2%

STL: 44.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.18

STL: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs STL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	0	0.99
1	STL	14	1	0.98
2	COL	13	0	0.68
2	STL	7	1	0.46
3	COL	20	0	1.38
3	STL	19	4	2.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1