St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 61.6%
STL: 38.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.28
STL: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | COL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.860 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs STL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-02-23 | STL 3 - 1 COL | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-31 | COL 5 - 0 STL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:57 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:09 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:54 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.3 - 2.4