St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 53.5%
STL: 46.5%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.09
STL: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | COL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs STL: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | STL 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2 - 3 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | COL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:57 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:09 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:54 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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