New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 57.6%

NJD: 42.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.01

NJD: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NJD: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.63
1	NJD	12	0	0.50
2	MIN	13	0	0.81
2	NJD	20	0	0.88
3	MIN	12	1	1.01
3	NJD	13	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2