New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 50.4%
NJD: 49.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.83
NJD: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | MIN | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NJD: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | MIN 2 - 5 NJD | NJD | MIN |
| 2025-10-22 | NJD 4 - 1 MIN | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-03-31 | NJD 3 - 2 MIN | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-03-29 | MIN 2 - 5 NJD | NJD | MIN |
| 2023-11-02 | MIN 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:29 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 05:46 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 16:31 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 03:13 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 05:22 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 14:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:46 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7
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