Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 56.8%
VGK: 43.2%
Expected Goals
NSH: 2.40
VGK: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | NSH | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NSH at home vs VGK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VGK 7 - 2 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-31 | VGK 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | VGK |
| 2025-04-12 | VGK 5 - 3 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NSH |
| 2025-01-14 | NSH 5 - 3 VGK | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:26 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:53 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:15 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 06:25 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.4 - 3.1