Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 57.4%

VGK: 42.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.15

VGK: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	29	26	3	89.7%	3.96	4	0.96
VGK	Adin Hill	24	23	1	95.8%	1.47	0	0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NSH at home vs VGK: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	NSH 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.59
1	VGK	10	0	0.50
2	NSH	13	0	0.28
2	VGK	18	2	1.67
3	NSH	8	0	0.59
3	VGK	9	2	1.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9