Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 61.4%

VGK: 38.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.18

VGK: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs VGK: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.59
1	VGK	10	0	0.50
2	NSH	13	0	0.28
2	VGK	18	2	1.67
3	NSH	8	0	0.59
3	VGK	9	2	1.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9