Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 58.9%
TOR: 41.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.72
TOR: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 23%
Over 6.5: 14%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | LAK | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.743 | 0.825 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | LAK 7 - 6 TOR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-13 | TOR 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-29 | LAK 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2024-10-16 | TOR 6 - 2 LAK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-02 | LAK 0 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:57 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 00:55 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:04 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:35 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.7 - 2.7
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