Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 66.1%

TOR: 33.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.34

TOR: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	LAK 7 - 6 TOR	LAK	LAK
2025-11-13	TOR 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-29	LAK 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK
2024-10-16	TOR 6 - 2 LAK	TOR	TOR
2024-01-02	LAK 0 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	20	0	0.54
1	TOR	19	1	0.97
2	LAK	22	0	1.16
2	TOR	9	1	0.79
3	LAK	15	0	0.72
3	TOR	12	2	2.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8