Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 59.4%
TOR: 40.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.39
TOR: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | LAK | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • LAK at home vs TOR: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | TOR 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
| 2025-03-29 | LAK 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2024-10-16 | TOR 6 - 2 LAK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-02 | LAK 0 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2023-10-31 | TOR 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:57 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 00:55 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:04 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:35 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7