Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

DET: 58.1%

BOS: 41.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.66

BOS: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	21	20	1	95.2%	2.07	2	1.07
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	22	20	2	90.9%	2.08	2	0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	1	0.63
1	BOS	15	1	1.04
2	DET	12	1	1.07
2	BOS	11	0	0.43
3	DET	8	0	0.38
3	BOS	9	1	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8