Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SEA: 48.8%

DAL: 51.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.04

DAL: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	21	16	5	76.2%	3.22	1	-1.78
DAL	Jake Oettinger	36	35	1	97.2%	2.76	0	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SEA at home vs DAL: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	0	0.89
1	DAL	13	0	1.00
2	SEA	13	0	0.51
2	DAL	15	0	1.06
3	SEA	20	0	1.36
3	DAL	8	1	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6