Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 51.2%
DAL: 48.8%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.07
DAL: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs DAL: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | DAL 4 - 1 SEA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-26 | SEA 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | SEA |
| 2025-11-09 | DAL 2 - 1 SEA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | SEA |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1 - 5 DAL | DAL | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 17 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 1 | DAL | 13 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 2 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 2 | DAL | 15 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 3 | SEA | 20 | 0 | 1.36 |
| 3 | DAL | 8 | 1 | 1.16 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.