Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

WPG: 63.7%

VAN: 36.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.44

VAN: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	23	1	95.8%	1.81	0	0.81
VAN	Thatcher Demko	27	24	3	88.9%	3.51	4	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs VAN: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	1	1.29
1	VAN	10	0	0.53
2	WPG	10	1	0.39
2	VAN	16	0	0.62
3	WPG	15	2	1.83
3	VAN	14	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6