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Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-30 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
ANA: 52.4%
TOR: 47.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.93
TOR: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
StatANATOR
Season SV%0.8880.914
Last 5 SV%0.8400.863
SV% vs Opponent0.8150.900
GAA3.152.74
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs TOR: 0-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-30ANA 4 - 5 TORTORANA
2026-03-12TOR 6 - 4 ANATORTOR
2025-03-30ANA 2 - 3 TORTORANA
2024-12-12TOR 3 - 2 ANATORTOR
2024-02-17TOR 9 - 2 ANATORTOR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
119:24TORGoal
206:29TORGoal
207:50TORGoal
302:16ANAGoal
311:35TORGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3