Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-30 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 57.5%
TOR: 42.5%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.96
TOR: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | ANA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs TOR: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | ANA 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2024-12-12 | TOR 3 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-17 | TOR 9 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-03 | ANA 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:24 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:29 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:50 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:16 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:35 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2