San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-30 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 8 - 1 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 70.2%
SJS: 29.8%
Expected Goals
LAK: 4.04
SJS: 2.39
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA
SJS
Georgi Romanov - 0-6-0 | 0.877 SV% | 3.89 GAA
| Stat | LAK | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.886 | 0.877 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.89 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | David Rittich | 23 | 22 | 1 | 95.7% | 2.13 | 1 | 1.13 |
| SJS | Georgi Romanov | 36 | 28 | 8 | 77.8% | 3.99 | 2 | -4.01 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 14 | 1 | 0.92 |
| 1 | SJS | 17 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 2 | LAK | 25 | 1 | 2.28 |
| 2 | SJS | 14 | 1 | 0.88 |
| 3 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 3 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.33 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 8 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.4
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