Florida Panthers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-04-01 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 36.3%
FLA: 63.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.73
FLA: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | MTL | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.737 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • MTL at home vs FLA: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | MTL 4 - 3 FLA | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-01-08 | MTL 6 - 2 FLA | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-12-30 | FLA 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-04-01 | MTL 3 - 2 FLA | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-03-30 | FLA 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:43 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:37 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:29 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3
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