OTT vs BUF - 2025-04-01
2025-04-01 β’ Canadian Tire Centre
OTT 2 - 5 BUF
π¨ Upset Loss (51% underdog)
π Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 51.2%
BUF: 48.8%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.39
BUF: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
π₯ Goalie Matchup
OTT
Leevi MerilΓ€inen - 6-10-0 | 0.866 SV% | 3.48 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
β‘ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:36 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 13:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 09:59 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 10:22 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:21 | BUF | Goal |
π Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
β Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
OTT 2 - 5 BUF
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0