Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-04-01 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 49.4%
DET: 50.6%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.86
DET: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | STL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.882 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | STL 2 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6 - 4 STL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-01 | STL 2 - 1 DET | STL | DET |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0 - 4 STL | STL | DET |
| 2024-02-24 | DET 6 - 1 STL | DET | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 05:13 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:31 | STL | Goal |
| 4 | 03:27 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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