Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-04-01 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

STL: 55.6%

DET: 44.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.15

DET: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	21	20	1	95.2%	2.82	1	1.82
DET	Cam Talbot	37	35	2	94.6%	3.69	1	1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	STL 2 - 5 DET	DET	STL
2025-10-25	DET 6 - 4 STL	DET	DET
2025-04-01	STL 2 - 1 DET	STL	STL
2024-12-23	DET 0 - 4 STL	STL	DET
2024-02-24	DET 6 - 1 STL	DET	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	0	1.01
1	DET	9	0	0.67
2	STL	15	1	1.37
2	DET	12	0	0.93
3	STL	17	0	1.00
3	DET	10	1	1.08
4	STL	2	0	0.31
4	DET	3	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8