San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-04-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

ANA: 59.6%

SJS: 40.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.52

SJS: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	32	29	3	90.6%	3.40	1	0.40
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	39	35	4	89.7%	5.49	3	1.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • ANA at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	1	1.55
1	SJS	17	0	1.05
2	ANA	9	0	0.48
2	SJS	23	0	1.16
3	ANA	22	0	1.56
3	SJS	8	0	0.67
4	ANA	6	1	0.85
4	SJS	2	1	0.31
5	ANA	3	1	1.05
5	SJS	3	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8