San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-04-01 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 61.5%
SJS: 38.5%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.01
SJS: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | ANA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.556 | 0.872 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs SJS: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | ANA 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | ANA |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-01 | ANA 4 - 3 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-22 | ANA 3 - 1 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-12 | SJS 0 - 2 ANA | ANA | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:04 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:28 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:13 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:01 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:08 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:46 | ANA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9