San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-04-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

ANA: 54.7%

SJS: 45.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.27

SJS: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • ANA at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	1	1.55
1	SJS	17	0	1.05
2	ANA	9	0	0.48
2	SJS	23	0	1.16
3	ANA	22	0	1.56
3	SJS	8	0	0.67
4	ANA	6	1	0.85
4	SJS	2	1	0.31
5	ANA	3	1	1.05
5	SJS	3	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2