Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-04-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 55.3%
MIN: 44.7%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.64
MIN: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | MIN 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | MIN |
| 2025-10-20 | NYR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | NYR |
| 2025-04-02 | NYR 5 - 4 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-13 | MIN 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-09 | NYR 4 - 1 MIN | NYR | NYR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 25 | 1 | 1.01 |
| 1 | MIN | 12 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 2 | NYR | 26 | 0 | 1.89 |
| 2 | MIN | 15 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 3 | NYR | 13 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 3 | MIN | 8 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 4 | NYR | 1 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 4 | MIN | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0
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