Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-04-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 57.9%

SEA: 42.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.39

SEA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	19	14	5	73.7%	3.90	4	-1.10
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	24	0	100.0%	2.99	1	2.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VAN at home vs SEA: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	0	0.82
1	SEA	10	0	0.79
2	VAN	19	1	1.25
2	SEA	9	1	0.71
3	VAN	12	0	0.92
3	SEA	12	3	2.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0