Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-04-03 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 65.3%
BOS: 34.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.78
BOS: 1.80
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | MTL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.866 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MTL at home vs BOS: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | BOS 4 - 3 MTL | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-23 | BOS 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | BOS |
| 2025-11-15 | MTL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | MTL |
| 2025-04-03 | MTL 4 - 1 BOS | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-12-01 | BOS 6 - 3 MTL | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:40 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:24 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:00 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:19 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:03 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.8 - 1.8