Los Angeles Kings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-04-03 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 58.6%
LAK: 41.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.45
LAK: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | UTA | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs LAK: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | UTA 2 - 4 LAK | LAK | UTA |
| 2025-04-03 | UTA 2 - 4 LAK | LAK | UTA |
| 2025-02-22 | LAK 5 - 3 UTA | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-26 | LAK 3 - 2 UTA | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:56 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 12:21 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:06 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:50 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:10 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 3.3