Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-04-03 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 60.3%
WPG: 39.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.37
WPG: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | VGK | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • VGK at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2025-04-03 | VGK 0 - 4 WPG | WPG | VGK |
| 2024-12-12 | WPG 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2024-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 WPG | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-03-28 | WPG 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:01 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 18:15 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 11:53 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:08 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8