Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-04-03 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SJS: 41.6%

EDM: 58.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.90

EDM: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	0	0.86
1	EDM	11	0	0.64
2	SJS	13	1	0.70
2	EDM	23	0	1.35
3	SJS	8	0	0.32
3	EDM	15	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4