Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-04-03 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 44.1%
EDM: 55.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.77
EDM: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | SJS | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SJS 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-03-17 | EDM 5 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-02-28 | SJS 5 - 4 EDM | SJS | EDM |
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-16 | SJS 0 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:22 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 08:10 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 02:59 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 08:48 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:57 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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