Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-04-04 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 48.6%
CAR: 51.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.99
CAR: 3.66
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 62%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4 - 3 CAR | DET | CAR |
| 2025-12-27 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5 - 3 CAR | DET | CAR |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:03 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 09:29 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 01:57 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 09:05 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 09:26 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 12:36 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 12:44 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.7
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