Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-04-04 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 37.7%

CAR: 62.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.59

CAR: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	0	1.02
1	CAR	10	0	0.24
2	DET	13	1	1.12
2	CAR	23	1	1.52
3	DET	11	2	1.71
3	CAR	16	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2