Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-04-04 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 60.0%
MIN: 40.0%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.32
MIN: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | NYI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.852 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | MIN 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | MIN |
| 2025-11-07 | NYI 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | NYI |
| 2025-04-04 | NYI 3 - 1 MIN | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-02-08 | MIN 6 - 3 NYI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-01-15 | MIN 5 - 0 NYI | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 02:18 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:02 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 03:36 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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