New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NJD: 58.8%

NYR: 41.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.21

NYR: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	26	26	0	100.0%	3.07	3	3.07
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	16	12	4	75.0%	2.86	2	-1.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NJD at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	1.16
1	NYR	7	0	0.31
2	NJD	11	0	0.81
2	NYR	18	2	1.64
3	NJD	7	1	0.89
3	NYR	20	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8