Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 46.1%

EDM: 53.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.16

EDM: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	27	27	0	100.0%	1.71	0	1.71
EDM	Calvin Pickard	29	26	3	89.7%	3.68	2	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • LAK at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.78
1	EDM	13	0	0.57
2	LAK	13	1	0.98
2	EDM	14	0	0.44
3	LAK	17	1	1.92
3	EDM	17	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0