Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 52.4%

EDM: 47.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.27

EDM: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	27	27	0	100.0%	1.71	0	1.71
EDM	Calvin Pickard	29	26	3	89.7%	3.68	2	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-13

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	LAK 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.78
1	EDM	13	0	0.57
2	LAK	13	1	0.98
2	EDM	14	0	0.44
3	LAK	17	1	1.92
3	EDM	17	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1