BUF vs TBL - 2025-04-05
2025-04-05 • KeyBank Center
BUF 3 - 2 TBL
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 48.9%
TBL: 51.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.82
TBL: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:35 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:47 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BUF | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
BUF 3 - 2 TBL
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3