Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 49.1%

CBJ: 50.9%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.49

CBJ: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs CBJ: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	CBJ
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	11	0	0.57
1	CBJ	19	0	0.82
2	TOR	6	0	0.50
2	CBJ	14	0	0.44
3	TOR	21	3	1.77
3	CBJ	10	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 3.3