Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 45.3%

COL: 54.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.92

COL: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs COL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	17	0	0.86
1	COL	22	0	1.55
2	STL	5	0	0.37
2	COL	12	1	1.15
3	STL	10	2	1.62
3	COL	16	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.6