Winnipeg Jets at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-04-05 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 48.9%
WPG: 51.1%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.17
WPG: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | UTA | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs WPG: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | UTA 5 - 3 WPG | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-21 | UTA 4 - 3 WPG | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-26 | WPG 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | WPG |
| 2025-04-05 | UTA 4 - 1 WPG | UTA | WPG |
| 2025-01-24 | WPG 5 - 2 UTA | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:57 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:57 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:45 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:19 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
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