Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

OTT: 58.1%

CBJ: 41.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.36

CBJ: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Linus Ullmark	29	29	0	100.0%	2.26	2	2.26
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	30	26	4	86.7%	2.38	1	-1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • OTT at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	20	0	0.98
1	CBJ	12	1	0.58
2	OTT	14	0	0.81
2	CBJ	13	0	0.57
3	OTT	9	1	0.59
3	CBJ	18	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5