Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-04-06 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

DET: 62.1%

FLA: 37.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.30

FLA: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.48
1	FLA	12	0	0.41
2	DET	15	0	1.24
2	FLA	10	1	0.95
3	DET	14	2	2.21
3	FLA	21	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5