Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-04-06 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 3 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 64.9%
BOS: 35.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.45
BOS: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | BUF | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs BOS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | BUF 4 - 1 BOS | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-30 | BOS 4 - 3 BUF | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-11 | BOS 3 - 1 BUF | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-06 | BUF 6 - 3 BOS | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-17 | BOS 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:27 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 03:37 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:31 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:38 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 10:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 07:35 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:59 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6