Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-04-06 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 42.8%
PIT: 57.2%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.76
PIT: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 29%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.556 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | PIT 6 - 2 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-28 | CHI 3 - 7 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-08 | PIT 5 - 0 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-06 | CHI 3 - 1 PIT | CHI | PIT |
| 2024-02-15 | CHI 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:55 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:40 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:36 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:04 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7
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