Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-04-06 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 40.8%
VGK: 59.2%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.05
VGK: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | VAN | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.913 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs VGK: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | VAN 1 - 2 VGK | VGK | VAN |
| 2026-03-30 | VGK 4 - 2 VAN | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-02-04 | VGK 5 - 2 VAN | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-16 | VAN 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VAN |
| 2025-04-06 | VAN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:46 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 08:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 13:15 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 08:03 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:46 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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