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Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-04-07 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
ANA: 43.1%
EDM: 56.9%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.01
EDM: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 26%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatANAEDM
Season SV%0.8880.906
Last 5 SV%0.8400.837
SV% vs Opponent0.8670.852
GAA3.152.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs EDM: 3-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-28EDM 4 - 2 ANAEDMEDM
2026-02-25ANA 6 - 5 EDMANAEDM
2026-01-26EDM 7 - 4 ANAEDMEDM
2025-04-07ANA 3 - 2 EDMANAEDM
2025-03-04EDM 2 - 6 ANAANAEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
117:51EDMGoal
202:20ANAGoal
207:10ANAGoal
305:33ANAGoal
316:29ANAGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9