Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-04-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SJS: 46.4%

CGY: 53.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.91

CGY: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs CGY: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	23	0	1.24
1	CGY	14	0	0.77
2	SJS	11	0	0.76
2	CGY	19	1	0.98
3	SJS	7	1	0.53
3	CGY	18	3	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2