Detroit Red Wings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

MTL: 56.3%

DET: 43.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.14

DET: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • MTL at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	DET 3 - 1 MTL	DET	MTL
2026-01-10	MTL 0 - 4 DET	DET	MTL
2025-10-09	DET 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-08	MTL 4 - 1 DET	MTL	MTL
2025-01-23	DET 4 - 2 MTL	DET	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	10	1	0.51
1	DET	34	1	2.04
2	MTL	9	0	0.70
2	DET	12	1	0.96
3	MTL	14	3	1.79
3	DET	13	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0