New York Islanders at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-04-08 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 7 - 6 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 56.4%
NYI: 43.6%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.30
NYI: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA
| Stat | NSH | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.875 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.29 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Justus Annunen | 22 | 16 | 6 | 72.7% | 2.95 | 1 | -3.05 |
| NYI | Ilya Sorokin | 32 | 25 | 7 | 78.1% | 3.07 | 3 | -3.93 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | NYI 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NYI |
| 2026-01-08 | NSH 2 - 1 NYI | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-04-08 | NSH 7 - 6 NYI | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-01 | NYI 7 - 4 NSH | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-06 | NYI 2 - 0 NSH | NYI | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 14 | 2 | 1.26 |
| 1 | NYI | 11 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 2 | NSH | 18 | 1 | 0.91 |
| 2 | NYI | 9 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 3 | NYI | 17 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 4 | NSH | 2 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 4 | NYI | 2 | 0 | 0.21 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 7 - 6 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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