🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 7 - 6 New York Islanders

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
NSH: 56.4%
NYI: 43.6%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.30
NYI: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH
Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA
StatNSHNYI
Season SV%0.8750.910
Last 5 SV%
SV% vs Opponent
GAA3.292.55
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

TeamGoalieSASavesGASV%xGAHD FacedGSAx
NSHJustus Annunen2216672.7%2.951-3.05
NYIIlya Sorokin3225778.1%3.073-3.93
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs NYI: 3-0
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-31NYI 3 - 4 NSHNSHNYI
2026-01-08NSH 2 - 1 NYINSHNSH
2025-04-08NSH 7 - 6 NYINSHNSH
2025-03-01NYI 7 - 4 NSHNYINYI
2024-04-06NYI 2 - 0 NSHNYINYI

Shot Quality by Period

PeriodTeamShotsHigh DangerxG
1NSH1421.26
1NYI1100.42
2NSH1810.91
2NYI900.68
3NSH1100.63
3NYI1711.63
4NSH200.27
4NYI200.21
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 7 - 6 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1