Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

DAL: 49.0%

VAN: 51.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.93

VAN: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs VAN: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	VAN
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	DAL
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	12	0	0.85
1	VAN	10	0	0.87
2	DAL	18	2	1.93
2	VAN	16	0	1.00
3	DAL	13	1	1.46
3	VAN	20	4	2.37
4	DAL	0	0	0.00
4	VAN	5	1	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8