Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-04-08 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 65.4%
VGK: 34.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.39
VGK: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | COL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.854 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • COL at home vs VGK: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | VGK 5 - 6 COL | COL | VGK |
| 2025-10-31 | VGK 2 - 4 COL | COL | VGK |
| 2025-04-08 | COL 3 - 2 VGK | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-27 | COL 2 - 1 VGK | COL | COL |
| 2024-10-09 | VGK 8 - 4 COL | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 00:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 09:46 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:08 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6