Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-04-08 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 54.9%
VGK: 45.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.21
VGK: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | COL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.854 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs VGK: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | COL 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | COL |
| 2025-12-27 | VGK 5 - 6 COL | COL | VGK |
| 2025-10-31 | VGK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-08 | COL 3 - 2 VGK | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-27 | COL 2 - 1 VGK | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 00:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 09:46 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:08 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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