Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

COL: 58.2%

VGK: 41.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.26

VGK: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • COL at home vs VGK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-26	VGK 2 - 1 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-24	VGK 5 - 3 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-22	COL 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-05-20	COL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	0.69
1	VGK	9	0	0.39
2	COL	25	2	2.61
2	VGK	7	2	0.66
3	COL	12	0	0.73
3	VGK	12	1	0.69
4	COL	3	0	0.41
4	VGK	3	0	0.33
5	COL	3	1	1.12
5	VGK	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9