Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-04-09 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 8 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 51.7%

PHI: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.44

PHI: 4.71

Total Goals

Median: 11.0

Over 5.5: 95%

Over 6.5: 88%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	NYR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	11:33	NYR	Goal
2	09:03	NYR	Goal
2	16:43	PHI	Goal
2	18:32	NYR	Goal
3	03:05	PHI	Goal
3	05:38	NYR	Goal
3	07:01	NYR	Goal
3	08:01	NYR	Goal
3	11:55	PHI	Goal
3	15:33	PHI	Goal
3	18:10	PHI	Goal
3	19:05	PHI	Goal
3	19:47	PHI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 8.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 8 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 4.7