NYR vs PHI - 2025-04-09
2025-04-09 • Madison Square Garden
NYR 5 - 8 PHI
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 68.8%
PHI: 31.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.48
PHI: 4.43
Total Goals
Median: 8.0
Over 5.5: 80%
Over 6.5: 70%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 16-7-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.42 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:33 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:03 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:43 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:32 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:01 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:01 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 15:33 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:10 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:47 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 7.9
Score Breakdown
NYR 5 - 8 PHI
Expected: 3.5 - 4.4