St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-04-09 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

EDM: 58.3%

STL: 41.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.10

STL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs STL: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	11	0	0.37
1	STL	11	0	0.79
2	EDM	16	1	1.41
2	STL	11	2	0.79
3	EDM	16	0	0.85
3	STL	14	2	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1