St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-04-09 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 57.4%
STL: 42.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.20
STL: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | EDM | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs STL: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | STL 3 - 2 EDM | STL | EDM |
| 2026-01-18 | EDM 5 - 0 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-03 | STL 3 - 2 EDM | STL | STL |
| 2025-04-09 | EDM 4 - 3 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-04 | STL 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:44 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:30 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 12:39 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:14 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 01:41 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:25 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:39 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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